01.04.25 Premier League: Arsenal - Fulham: Arsenal + o2.5 (coefficient 2.60 & stake 300)
Result 2-1 (+480) *here max value would have been Arsenal + BTS at 4.00. However 2.60 is still quite ok and I am happy with the outcome.
Premier League: Nottingham Forest - Manchester United: Forest (coefficient 2.30) This is a prediction I didn't made, because I got scared. Max value prediction here was Forrest to 0 at 4.00. Actually the reason I didn't made the prediction is because I saw that the best forward of Forest (Wood) is missing the game. This is not a good reason to skip a prediction, moreover if you expect a low scoring 1-0 or 2-0 win.
02.04.25 Premier League: Manchester City - Leicester City: City + BTS + o3.5 (coefficient 3.60 & stake 300)
Result: 2-0 *here I expected a lot more goals from City and one goal from Leicester.
Premier League: Newcastle - Brentford: Newcastle + BTS (coefficient 2.87 & stake 300)
Result: 2-1 (+562.50)
Premier League: Liverpool - Everton: Liverpool to 0 (coefficient 2.25 & stake 300)
Result: 1-0 (+375) *here I expected the game to finish 2-0. Max value would have been Liverpool + u2.5
Multi 3 games City + BTS + o3.5, Newcastle + BTS & Liverpool to 0 (coefficient 20.70 & stake 150)
Result: 2 of 3 *close enough, but not quite. Potential win was around 3.000 so worth the risk
03.04.25 Premier League: Chelsea - Tottenham: BTS No (coefficient 2.625 & stake 300)
Result: 1-0 (+487.50) *here I would like to talk about overthinking and how this leads to sub optimal decisions. My prediction was Chelsea + u2.5, however I started digging deeper and deeper and convinced myself that a 0-0 draw is possible. Initially I was pretty sure that Chelsea would win 1-0 or 2-0, yet after 20-30 minutes of overthinking I started to doubt everything. I got confused and lost the ability to think clear. Thankfully I made at least the BTS No prediction. On the other side Chelsea + u2.5 had a coefficient of 6.00. Although I missed a wonderful opportunity I am happy to learn a lesson. Keep it simple, thrust your intuition and first prediction.
Moreover this was the exact same situation as when, a couple of weeks ago, Manchester City won the game with Tottenham 1-0. At that moment my prediction was the same: City + u2.5 and the coefficient was even higher 7.50. What I made instead was going for super max value with a correct score prediction 2-0 at coefficient 15.00 (with really big stake) and ended up empty handed. Now at least I made a profit and learned my lesson. Next time I will stick with the initial prediction 🙂
04.04.25 Serie A: Genoa - Udinese: draw (improved coefficient 3.040 & stake 300)
Result: 1-0 *here it was quite logical to predict u2.5, however the coefficient was too low 1.45.
05.04.25: Serie A: Monza - Como: Como + u.25 (coefficient 3.75 & stake 600)
Result: 1-3 *here I was pretty convinced that Como would win 0-1 and this is why I decided to double the stake to 600. Nice lesson that there are no sure predictions
🙂
Premier League: West Ham - Bournemouth: Bournemouth (coefficient 2.30 & stake 300)
Result: 2-2
La Liga: Girona - Alaves: o2.5 (coefficient 2.20 & stake 300)
Result: 0-1
La Liga: Barcelona - Real Betis: Barcelona + BTS (coefficient 2.40 & stake 300)
Result: 1-1 *here the BTS was too low at around 1.60
Bundesliga: Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund: o2.5 + BTS (coefficient 2.00 & stake 300)
Result: 1-4 (+300)
Multi 3 games Como + u2.5, Bournemouth, Girona o2.5 & Dortmund o2.5+BTS (coefficient 37.95 & stake 150)
Result: 1 of 4 correct *I will keep the 3 games Multi predictions when there is a good opportunity. It is clear that Multi predictions are more difficult, however the potential reward is really sweet. Eventually I would succeed. The core are the Single predictions and the Multi predictions are a bonus
06.04.25: Bundesliga: Union Berlin - Wolfsburg: 1-0 (coefficient 8.00 & stake 300)
Result: 1-0 (+2100) *this is one of my favorite predictions and the funny part is that I was about to skip it, thanks 🙂
07.04.25: Premier League: Leicester - Newcastle: u2.5 + BTS (coefficient 9.00 & stake 300)
Result: 0-3 *here I was a bit tempted to go two correct score predictions in a roll. I learned another important lesson. When making the prediction initially the idea was to make it BTS No at 1.95. Because there was also the o2.5 aspect involved, and I was tempted to make second correct score prediction, the decision was between 0-3 at 11.00 and 0-0 at 12.00. The other two games this day were not promising so I came back to this one and totally changed my view. So I flipped my initial thoughts of BTS No and o2.5 to the opposite BTS and u2.5. The lesson here is stick with your initial prediction and don't switch it. Here both clubs had no draw in their last 15 Premier League games. This is not a reason to go for a draw, the opposite, think about home or away win!
